Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (54-29) are -275 favorites vs the Cubs (34-50)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (2-5), 5.32 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (5-2), 2.57 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 34-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-35 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 +110O 8 -115+225
Dodgers -1.5 -135U 8 -105-275

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 36 away games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 46 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Gavin Lux 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Justin Turner 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Max Muncy 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Justin Turner 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clayton Kershaw 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Marcus Stroman 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.89% ROI).

  • 34-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -13.04% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.19% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-35 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 9.98% ROI).

  • 54-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 30-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -21.53% ROI
  • 45-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 12.81% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (25/73) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (629/1,724) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 10 of 184 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .202 (37-for-183) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 93rd Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (96/239) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 67% of the time (361/538) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 67% of the time (362/538) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (247/538) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Cubs are just 5-17 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Cubs are just 25-3 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 24-6 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Dodgers are 28-13 (.683) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Dodgers are 21-73 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Cubs are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 284 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging .641 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .326 (2,368 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,253 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,909 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (5,624 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,909 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.