Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Dodgers (54-29) are -275 favorites vs the Cubs (34-50)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (2-5), 5.32 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw (5-2), 2.57 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Saturday, July 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Cubs vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 34-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 48-35 ATS.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 +110O 8 -115+225
Dodgers -1.5 -135U 8 -105-275

Cubs vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Dodgers vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 away games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 36 away games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 46 games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+7.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+7.15 Units / 61% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Gavin Lux 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Justin Turner 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Dodgers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Freddie Freeman 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Gavin Lux 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Justin Turner 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Max Muncy 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Freddie Freeman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gavin Lux 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Justin Turner 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Dodgers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Clayton Kershaw 6.5 +105 6.5 -150
Marcus Stroman 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 83 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 83 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 79 games (+5.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 43-41 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -4.89% ROI).

  • 34-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -13.04% ROI
  • 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.34% ROI
  • 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.19% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-35 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 9.98% ROI).

  • 54-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 30-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -21.53% ROI
  • 45-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.7 Units / 12.81% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (25/73) against Marcus Stroman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (629/1,724) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 10 of 184 batters (5%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .202 (37-for-183) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 93rd Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (96/239) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 67% of the time (361/538) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 67% of the time (362/538) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (247/538) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 1-39 (.025) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .109.

The Cubs are just 17-27 (.386) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Cubs are just 5-17 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Cubs are just 25-3 (.893) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 24-6 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .667.

The Dodgers are 28-13 (.683) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Dodgers are 21-73 (.223) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Dodgers are 4-2 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Cubs are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 40 double plays in 284 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging .641 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .326 (2,368 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .774 (2,253 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs have won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,909 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (5,624 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,909 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Heaney (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Side, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel Norris (Cubs): Finger, D15
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.