Cubs vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 30, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (49-51) are -135 favorites vs the Cubs (41-58)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (3-5), 3.92 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-2), 2.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-BA

The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 41-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-54 ATS.

Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -185O 8 -105+110
Giants -1.5 +150U 8 -115-135

Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+16.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.05 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Brandon Belt 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Darin Ruf 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Joey Bart 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +1000 0.5

Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Brandon Belt 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Darin Ruf 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Joey Bart 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -110 0.5 -130

Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Brandon Belt 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Darin Ruf 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Joey Bart 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +275 0.5 -450

Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Junis 4.5 -110 4.5 -125
Drew Smyly 4.5 -115 4.5 -120
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 98 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 39% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-48 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.09% ROI).

  • 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -11.56% ROI
  • 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.87% ROI
  • 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.66% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -10.38% ROI).

  • 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -14.11% ROI
  • 47-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -4.43% ROI
  • 47-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.89% ROI

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (985/2,236) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (750/2,079) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,293/3,077) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (396/938) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 54% of the time (433/805) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .000 (0 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Jakob Junis with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (433/805) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.

37 of Jakob Junis’ 44 strikeouts (84%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 96th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Cubs are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Cubs are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Giants are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 307 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.

Cubs hitters have 651 strikeouts in 2,625 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Giants are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 697 of 9,749 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have walked 145 of 2,348 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Joc Pederson (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.