- The Giants (49-51) are -135 favorites vs the Cubs (41-58)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly (3-5), 3.92 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Jakob Junis (4-2), 2.98 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-135) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 41-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-54 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +110 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -135 |
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 46 games (+20.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+16.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+15.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games (+14.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Junis | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+9.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 72 games (+8.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 98 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 36 away games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.15 Units / 76% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 51-48 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -4.09% ROI).
- 41-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -10.87% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.66% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-54 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -10.38% ROI).
- 49-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.9 Units / -14.11% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 47-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -4.89% ROI
Todd Smyly: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (985/2,236) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (750/2,079) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (1,293/3,077) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (396/938) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.
Jakob Junis: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jakob Junis has thrown his slider 54% of the time (433/805) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total SL; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .000 (0 GB hits out of 16 GBs) against Jakob Junis with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (433/805) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
37 of Jakob Junis’ 44 strikeouts (84%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 20-32 (.385) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Cubs are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cubs are just 3-48 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Cubs are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Giants are 33-6 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Giants are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 307 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .344.
Cubs hitters have 651 strikeouts in 2,625 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Giants are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 697 of 9,749 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 145 of 2,348 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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