- The Giants (50-51) are -190 favorites vs the Cubs (41-59)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-1), 3.20 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-6), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-190) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 41-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-55 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -115 | +155 |
| Giants | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -105 | -190 |
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 52 games (+13.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 21 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| David Villar | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Wynns | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +110 |
| Adrian Sampson | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 away games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-48 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -3.27% ROI).
- 41-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -12.36% ROI
- 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -9.84% ROI
- 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.73% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-55 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -11.09% ROI).
- 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -13.32% ROI
- 48-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -3.48% ROI
- 47-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.74% ROI
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has struck out just 10% (7/72) of left-handed batters he faced this month (5 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has struck out just 8% (3/37) of left-handed batters he faced — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Adrian Sampson has a strikeout rate of just 25% (16 SO in 65 PAs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (37 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 95th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (38 SO in 107 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 31% (148 SO in 472 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (87 SO in 223 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 15-47 (.242) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 17-96 (.150) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Cubs are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Cubs are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 21-108 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Giants are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .353 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 312 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .289 (436 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Giants hitters are slugging .485 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Giants have a winning percentage of 62% at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants pitchers have walked 698 of 9,789 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Thairo Estrada (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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