Cubs vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 31

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 31, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (50-51) are -190 favorites vs the Cubs (41-59)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-1), 3.20 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-6), 3.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-190) on Sunday, July 31, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 41-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-55 ATS.

Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -135O 7.5 -115+155
Giants -1.5 +110U 7.5 -105-190

Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s matchup with 58.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+15.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+14.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 52 games (+13.35 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+9.20 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Darin Ruf has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 21 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)

Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Wynns 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Brandon Belt 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
David Villar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jason Vosler 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200

Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Wynns 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Brandon Belt 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
David Villar 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jason Vosler 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Wynns 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Brandon Belt 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
David Villar 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jason Vosler 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
LaMonte Wade Jr 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 7.5 -155 7.5 +110
Adrian Sampson 3.5 +100 3.5 -140
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 99 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+8.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 away games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+7.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 20% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-48 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -3.27% ROI).

  • 41-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -12.36% ROI
  • 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -9.84% ROI
  • 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.73% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 46-55 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -11.09% ROI).

  • 50-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.9 Units / -13.32% ROI
  • 48-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -3.48% ROI
  • 47-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.74% ROI

Adrian Sampson has a strikeout rate of just 17% (4 SO in 24 PAs) with two-strikes — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has struck out just 10% (7/72) of left-handed batters he faced this month (5 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has struck out just 8% (3/37) of left-handed batters he faced — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has a strikeout rate of just 25% (16 SO in 65 PAs) with two-strikes this month (5 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .233 (37 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 95th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 35% (38 SO in 107 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 31% (148 SO in 472 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (87 SO in 223 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 15-47 (.242) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Cubs are just 17-96 (.150) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Cubs are just 7-20 (.259) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

The Cubs are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are 21-108 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Giants are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Giants are 16-6 (.727) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .353 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 312 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the right side of the field with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Giants are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .289 (436 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Giants hitters are slugging .485 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 62% at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants pitchers have walked 698 of 9,789 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Giants): Hamstring, D15
  • Joc Pederson (Giants): Concussion, D7
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D60
  • Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Hamstring, D10
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Thairo Estrada (Giants): Head, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.