- The Giants are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Giants starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-165) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 27-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 31-32 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +140 |
| Giants | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -165 |
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+15.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+13.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- Casey Schmitt has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| John Brebbia | 1.5 +115 | 1.5 -155 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.45 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-30 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.24% ROI).
- 27-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -13.95% ROI
- 30-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 32-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.23% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 31-32 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -2.99% ROI).
- 32-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -6.36% ROI
- 28-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 33-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 3.91% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has averaged 86.8 MPH on fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks had an average fastball velocity of just 86.7 MPH in 2022 — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — first Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (17/60) against John Brebbia this season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.
John Brebbia has thrown his slider 58% of the time (141/242) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (17/60) against John Brebbia this season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
John Brebbia has a strikeout rate of just 18% (30 SO in 169 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — second Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs were just 29-24 (.547) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Cubs were just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cubs were just 65-4 (.942) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants were 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants were 63-4 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Giants were 54-9 (.857) when scoring 5 or more runs in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Giants were 34-10 (.773) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .394 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 658 strikeouts in 2,608 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Giants hitters have drawn 41 walks in 676 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 55 of 478 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 126 of 2,000 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Davis (Giants): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Robert Wood (Giants): Back, D15
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Edwin RÃos (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
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