Cubs vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2023, 3:32 PM
  • The Giants are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Hayden Wesneski
  • Giants starting pitcher: John Brebbia
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-150) on Sunday, June 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 28-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 31-33 ATS.

Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -160O 8.5 -105+125
Giants -1.5 +135U 8.5 -115-150

Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 56.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 50 games (+23.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+16.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+14.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 33 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Casey Schmitt has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • David Villar has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)

Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Christopher Morel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
J.D. Davis 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Matt Mervis 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Christopher Morel 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
J.D. Davis 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +155 1.5 -210
Matt Mervis 0.5 -135 0.5 +105

Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Christopher Morel 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
J.D. Davis 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Matt Mervis 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hayden Wesneski 4.5 +130 4.5 -165
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 34-30 against the Run Line (+1.2 Units / 1.44% ROI).

  • 28-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -11.76% ROI
  • 30-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -9.12% ROI
  • 33-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.21% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -4.16% ROI).

  • 32-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -8.25% ROI
  • 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -13.02% ROI
  • 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.7 Units / 5.27% ROI

Hayden Wesneski has located his changeup inside 58% of the time (59/102) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed a slugging percentage of .828 (24 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .426 — third Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 37% of Hayden Wesneski’s breaking pitches (90/245) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 20% (4/20) against Hayden Wesneski on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (20/65) against John Brebbia this season — 6th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.

John Brebbia has thrown his slider 58% of the time (143/246) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

John Brebbia has a strikeout rate of just 18% (31 SO in 173 PAs) on low non-fastballs since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — second Percentile.

John Brebbia has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (273/395) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 16-27 (.372) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs are just 2-25 (.074) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Cubs are just 27-13 (.675) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Giants are 7-5 (.583) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Giants are 23-22 (.511) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Giants are 28-21 (.571) after a road win since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Giants are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Cubs are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.14 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .398 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.

The Giants are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Giants hitters have 179 strikeouts in 676 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 41% of their games since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 128 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed the 27th hardest ball in play hit (117.5 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.8).

Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 37 of 570 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Wood (Giants): Back, D15
  • Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
  • Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
  • Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Edwin Ríos (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.