- The Cubs are -105 favorites vs the Giants
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-115) on Friday, June 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 26-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 31-31 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -110 | -105 |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -110 | -115 |
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 55.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 48 games (+23.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 away games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 75% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
Giants vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Giants vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 58 games (+1.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games at home (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 32-30 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -1% ROI).
- 26-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -15.51% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -6.34% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -2.73% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.79% ROI).
- 32-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.94% ROI
- 28-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.1 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 32-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 2.5% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .212 (7-for-33) against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 16 of 70 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 53% of the time (322/610) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 53% of the time (322/610) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani allowed a batting average of just .192 vs right-handed batters (sixth best)– 91st Percentile and .300 vs left-handed batters this season (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 12th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 12 of 290 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (15/91) against Anthony DeSclafani on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .192 (25-for-130) against Anthony DeSclafani this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 91st Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 1-4 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 7-11 (.389) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Cubs are just 15-27 (.357) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Giants are 7-5 (.583) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Giants are 11-7 (.611) after a win as underdogs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .431 (140 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 179 strikeouts in 676 PA’s (27%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Giants hitters have 658 strikeouts in 2,608 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.4 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
BASE __basic__ __PTeamId__ __PT__ __OnePitchPAPct__ __Overall__ PresentPerfect
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 54 of 490 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Wood (Giants): Back, D15
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Edwin RÃos (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
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