- The Giants are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson, 14.04 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani, 0.00 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Saturday, March 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Scottsdale.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cubs are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 6-8 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 10.5 +100 | +110 |
| Giants | -1.5 +140 | U 10.5 -120 | -130 |
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ford Proctor has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.35 Units / 84% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 away games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-6 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 13.45% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 10.3% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -41.9% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 33.63% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -14.95% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -28.04% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.25% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson induced opposing hitters to ground into 14 double plays in 61 opportunities (23%) last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson induced opposing hitters to ground into 7 double plays in 18 opportunities (39%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson allowed an OPS of just .772 (92 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 95th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson had a strikeout rate of just 6% (6/106) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has a strike rate of just 61% (550/900) in two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (17/117) against Anthony DeSclafani on inside fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 45% (88/195) against Anthony DeSclafani with two-strikes since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (123/257) against Anthony DeSclafani vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Cubs are just 6-64 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 63-4 (.940) when leading entering the 7th inning last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are just 27-72 (.273) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Giants are 34-10 (.773) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Cubs hitters put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cubs hitters have 3,044 strikeouts in 12,044 PA’s (25%) since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have drawn 265 walks in 2,869 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) last season (; League Avg: 117.3).
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Cubs vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
