Cubs vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

Seattle Mariners' Cal Raleigh walks to first base during the third inning of a baseball game against the Chicago Cubs in Chicago, Sunday, June 22, 2025.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
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  • The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Mariners
  • Cubs vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Mariners TV Channel: MARQ | MRTV

The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-110) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are ATS.

Cubs vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-9, 3.77 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 4-7, 3.73 ERA

Cubs vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +150O 7.5 -118-110
Mariners +1.5 -185U 7.5 -102-110

Cubs vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+22.60 Units / 452% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+8.50 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Cole Young has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Bryce Miller has hit the Earned Runs Over in his last 7 games (+7.70 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+16.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 39% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mariners vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +270
Randy Arozarena +290
Julio Rodriguez +300
Cal Raleigh +333
Dominic Canzone +350

Mariners vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randy Arozarena 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Alex Bregman 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Mariners vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Weston Wilson 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Mike Busch 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Miguel Amaya 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Michael Conforto 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Cubs are 18-22 (.450) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 28-29 (.491) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-51 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 44-30 (.595) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mariners are just 18-20 (.474) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 2-58 (.033) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 2-61 (.032) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are just 22-31 (.415) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Cubs (second in runs scored).

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .807 (1,375 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,375 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are batting .268 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .340 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .375 this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mariners are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 20 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 66% this season — highest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB.

Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.