- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Marlins starting pitcher: Bryan Hoeing
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Chicago Cubs () visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins () on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Miami.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Marlins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 14-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 11-17 ATS.
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Marlins | U |
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+17.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 23 games (+7.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)
Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Yan Gomes | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Yan Gomes | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yan Gomes | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eric Hosmer | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Bryan Hoeing | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -185 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games at home (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 16-10 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 20.16% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 13.45% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -1.39% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -8.41% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 11-17 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -27.77% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 10.32% ROI
- 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -14.36% ROI
- 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 5.48% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (61/114) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .431 (85 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (42/75) against Justin Steele this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .208 (16 Total Bases / 77 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Hoeing has limited playing time.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Cubs are just 1-81 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Cubs are just 5-77 (.061) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Cubs are just 16-95 (.144) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Marlins are just 10-47 (.175) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Marlins are just 61-15 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Marlins are 7-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Marlins are 11-11 (.500) when underdogs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .305 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .648 (562 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Cubs hitters are slugging .495 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cubs hitters are slugging .354 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,497 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Marlins hitters have 874 strikeouts in 3,193 PA’s (27%) against LHP since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .338 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Marlins are batting just .220 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs have won 56% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.84 (111.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Cooper (Marlins): Stomach, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Nance (Marlins): Shoulder, D60
- Johnny Cueto (Marlins): Bicep, D15
- Jon Chargois (Marlins): Oblique, D15
- Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Forearm , D15
- Joseph Wendle (Marlins): Oblique, D10
- Nicholas Enright (Marlins): Illness, D60
- Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jameson Taillon (Cubs): Groin, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
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