Cubs vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

Miami Marlins' Jesus Sanchez runs the bases after hitting a three run home run during the first inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Tuesday, July 4, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | BSFL

The Chicago Cubs (-185) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+150) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cubs are 64-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 58-70 ATS.

Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 9-3, 3.14 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 2-1, 2.46 ERA

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 -110O 8 -105-185
Marlins +1.5 -110U 8 -115+150

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 47 games (+34.75 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+25.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+24.45 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+18.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.05 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 46 games (+45.10 Units / 98% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+20.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+20.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 45 games (+19.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+19.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 42 games (+8.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 away games (+3.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 67 games at home (+28.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 36 games (+19.05 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 games (+10.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 20% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 62-67 against the Run Line (-17.2 Units / -9.75% ROI).

  • 64-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -1.71% ROI
  • 57-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -12.63% ROI
  • 68-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 3.77% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 58-70 against the Run Line (-31.91 Units / -19.1% ROI).

  • 46-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -15.28% ROI
  • 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 9.52% ROI
  • 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24 Units / -17.1% ROI

Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Isaac Paredes (CHC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Busch (CHC) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Otto Lopez (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Isaac Paredes (CHC) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shota Imanaga (CHC) 6.5 +105 6.5 -135
Valente Bellozo (MIA) 4.5 +115 4.5 -155

Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (719/1,393) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has walked 20 of 541 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has a strike rate of 69% (1,391/2,019) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (34-for-195) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 95th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (13/67) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Valente Bellozo this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cubs are 20-10 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Cubs are just 13-180 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Cubs are 23-7 (.767) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Cubs are just 4-48 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Marlins are just 25-13 (.658) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.

The Marlins are just 15-18 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .756.

The Marlins are just 3-33 (.083) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Marlins are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .806.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,337 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 157 double plays in 2,030 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Cubs are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 62 double plays in 827 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .609 (1,507 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.

Marlins hitters have drawn 884 walks in 12,486 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 908 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 101 of 1,143 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7

The Marlins have allowed 5.76 runs per game (386/67) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.39.

Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
  • Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.