Cubs vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 19, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Marlins (60-87) are -145 favorites vs the Cubs (62-84)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Wade Miley (1-0), 2.89 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera (5-3), 2.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSFL

The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-145) on Monday, September 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Marlins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cubs vs Marlins Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 61-83 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 68-77 ATS.

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -185O 7 -115+120
Marlins -1.5 +150U 7 -105-145

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Marlins vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Marcus Stroman has hit the Earned Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)

Marlins vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Charles Leblanc 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Jon Berti 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Marlins vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Charles Leblanc 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Jon Berti 0.5 -225 0.5 +155

Marlins vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brian Anderson 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Charles Leblanc 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Jon Berti 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Marlins vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Edward Cabrera 6.5 -125 6.5 -115
Wade Miley 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+7.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 71-72 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -6.24% ROI).

  • 61-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 58-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.3 Units / -14.81% ROI
  • 74-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.3 Units / 6.52% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 68-77 against the Run Line (-21.1 Units / -10.99% ROI).

  • 60-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.9 Units / -16.9% ROI
  • 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -10.74% ROI
  • 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 2.48% ROI

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (316/539) since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH with runners in scoring position since the start of last season (117 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 87.9

Wade Miley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.9 MPH on pitches away since the start of last season (246 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 87.8

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (326/578) since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has walked 5 of 31 right-handed batters (16%) this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (20 Total Bases / 37 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fifth Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 8 of 65 batters (12%) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has allowed an OPS of 1.202 (31 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .682 — second Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cubs are just 18-105 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

The Cubs are just 61-70 (.466) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Cubs are just 8-40 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Cubs are just 49-6 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Marlins are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Marlins are 17-3 (.850) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Marlins are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

The Marlins are just 59-70 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 52 double plays in 368 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .156 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .361 (84 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .648.

Cubs hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .268 (1,213 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Marlins hitters have 805 strikeouts in 2,909 PA’s (28%) against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .283 (2,909 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Marlins have won just 21% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Marlins vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jorge Soler (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Max Meyer (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Rogers (Marlins): Lat, Day-to-Day
  • Paul Campbell (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Castano (Marlins): Concussion, D7
  • Sean Guenther (Marlins): Arm, D60
  • Avisaíl García (Marlins): Hamstring, D10
  • Cody Poteet (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Nance (Marlins): Groin, D15
  • Jordan Holloway (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Jasrado Chisholm Jr. (Marlins): Back, D60
  • Anthony Bender (Marlins): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Triceps, Day-to-Day
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
  • Rafael Ortega (Cubs): Finger, D60
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.