• The Cubs are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
• Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | MATV

The Chicago Cubs (-140) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+115) on September 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cubs are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.

Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-1, 3.45 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Gusto 1-3, 3.84 ERA

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+21.70 Units / 271% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+9.85 Units / 99% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 41% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+11.10 Units / 123% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 47% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+16.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+10.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 84% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+13.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+11.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cubs are 6-56 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 18-26 (.409) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 29-10 (.744) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 29-32 (.475) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Marlins are just 13-30 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Cubs (13th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are 35-7 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 30-9 (.769) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .813 (1,513 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,513 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .770 (5,608 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .509 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .195 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .296 with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 21 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs have won 44% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won 45% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 142 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.

The Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH this season (3,293 balls in play) — tied for 5th highest in MLB

Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (3,293 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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