• The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Marlins
• Cubs vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Cubs / Marlins TV Channel: MARQ | MATV

The Chicago Cubs (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+125) on September 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cubs are 81-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 72-69 ATS.

Cubs vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 6-6, 2.11 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 4-6, 3.44 ERA

Cubs vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+19.70 Units / 197% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+13.35 Units / 89% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 76% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+9.80 Units / 245% ROI)
• Kyle Stowers has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.20 Units / 120% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+16.80 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.05 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.80 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.55 Units / 23% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-73 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -0.75% ROI).

• 81-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 0.88% ROI
• 79-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.6 Units / 7.37% ROI
• 62-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.3 Units / -15.44% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 72-69 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -3.49% ROI).

• 71-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.45% ROI
• 70-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -3.89% ROI
• 69-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -4.85% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Cubs are 18-26 (.409) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-56 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 30-32 (.484) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Cubs are 62-5 (.925) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Marlins are just 13-30 (.302) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Cubs (13th fewest runs allowed).

The Marlins are 35-7 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 45-10 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .811 (1,521 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,521 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .340 (5,652 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .195 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 21 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .235 against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won 44% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Marlins have allowed 3.69 runs per game (262/71) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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