Cubs vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

New York Mets' Francisco Lindor scores on a single hit by Francisco Alvarez during the first inning of a baseball game against the Cincinnati Reds Sunday, April 7, 2024, in Cincinnati.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
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  • The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Mets
  • Cubs vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Mets TV Channel: MARQ | SNY

The Chicago Cubs (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on June 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Cubs are 40-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 31-45 ATS.

Cubs vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 4-6, 4.26 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 0-5, 9.27 ERA

Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +135O 8.5 -105-120
Mets +1.5 -165U 8.5 -115+100

Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+16.00 Units / 229% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.60 Units / 365% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.25 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.00 Units / 35% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 29-48 against the Run Line (-20.45 Units / -22.61% ROI).

  • 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -7.25% ROI
  • 40-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 1.12% ROI
  • 36-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -8.8% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 31-45 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -13.86% ROI).

  • 34-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.5 Units / -22.38% ROI
  • 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.82% ROI
  • 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -3.32% ROI

Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +270
Pete Crow-Armstrong +333
Mark Vientos +350
Francisco Alvarez +360
Bo Bichette +390

Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Juan Soto 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Alex Bregman 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Mark Vientos 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mets vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
A.J. Ewing 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matthew Shaw 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Mark Vientos 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Zack Short 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are just 7-30 (.189) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Cubs are just 4-14 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Cubs are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .753.

The Cubs are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are just 16-26 (.381) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .489.

The Mets are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Mets are just 10-41 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Mets are just 30-39 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .352 (843 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are batting .259 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .765 (843 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .588 (875 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .669 (2,861 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 67 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 67 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 13 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 204 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 13 runners this season — most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 126 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.

Mets pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .285 (688 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 40 double plays in 539 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.