- The Mets (89-52) are -300 favorites vs the Cubs (58-82)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad (0-1), 2.93 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (13-7), 3.23 ERA
- Watch the game on SNY
The Chicago Cubs (+240) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-300) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-140).
The Cubs vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 57-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-62 ATS.
Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 +115 | O 8 -110 | +240 |
| Mets | -1.5 -140 | U 8 -110 | -300 |
Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 68.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games at home (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 59 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 51 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 33 games at home (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| James McCann | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Mets vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| James McCann | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 141 games (+13.32 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 68-69 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 57-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.95 Units / -13.35% ROI
- 57-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 69-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.23% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 76-62 against the Run Line (+13.9 Units / 8.1% ROI).
- 88-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.8 Units / 6.54% ROI
- 71-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 3.12% ROI
- 60-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.1 Units / -11.92% ROI
Javier Assad: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has limited playing time.
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (79/455) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on the 180 breaking pitches put in play against him since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 87.2.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.3 MPH this season (451 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (23/154) against Chris Bassitt on non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Cubs are just 18-105 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Cubs are just 28-111 (.201) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cubs are just 16-21 (.432) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 16-157 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Mets are 129-25 (.838) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Mets are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 106-74 (.589) at home since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Mets are 76-27 (.738) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .365 (83 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
The Cubs are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 51 double plays in 364 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (3,715 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Mets are batting .264 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,069 of 11,573 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
- Trevor May (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Side, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Triceps, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
- Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60
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