Cubs vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mets (89-52) are -300 favorites vs the Cubs (58-82)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad (0-1), 2.93 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (13-7), 3.23 ERA
  • Watch the game on SNY

The Chicago Cubs (+240) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-300) on Monday, September 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-140).

The Cubs vs Mets Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 57-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-62 ATS.

Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 +115O 8 -110+240
Mets -1.5 -140U 8 -110-300

Cubs vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 68.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mets vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 29 away games (+13.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Franmil Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 37 games at home (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 59 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 51 games (+12.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 33 games at home (+12.20 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
James McCann 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Mets vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
James McCann 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Mets vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eduardo Escobar 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Francisco Lindor 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
James McCann 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+17.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 81 of their last 141 games (+13.32 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 61 games (+5.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 68-69 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -6.92% ROI).

  • 57-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.95 Units / -13.35% ROI
  • 57-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.55 Units / -12.33% ROI
  • 69-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 4.23% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 76-62 against the Run Line (+13.9 Units / 8.1% ROI).

  • 88-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.8 Units / 6.54% ROI
  • 71-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 3.12% ROI
  • 60-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.1 Units / -11.92% ROI

Javier Assad has limited playing time.

Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (79/455) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.4 MPH on the 180 breaking pitches put in play against him since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 87.2.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.3 MPH this season (451 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 88.6

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (23/154) against Chris Bassitt on non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Cubs are just 18-105 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Cubs are just 28-111 (.201) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cubs are just 16-21 (.432) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are just 16-157 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Mets are 129-25 (.838) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Mets are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 106-74 (.589) at home since the 2020 season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Mets are 76-27 (.738) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .158 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .365 (83 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.

The Cubs are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 51 double plays in 364 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (3,715 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Mets hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .391.

The Mets are batting .264 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 1,069 of 11,573 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Trevor May (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Side, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Hoerner (Cubs): Triceps, Day-to-Day
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Nelson Velázquez (Cubs): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Keegan Thompson (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Willson Contreras (Cubs): Foot, D10
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Undisclosed, D15
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.