Cubs vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

Washington Nationals right fielder James Wood jogs off the field during a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Friday, Sept. 27, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MARQ | NATV

The Chicago Cubs (-155) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on August 13, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Cubs are 71-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 70-50 ATS.

Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-10, 4.26 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Cade Cavalli 9-5, 3.58 ERA

Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +110O 8.5 -105-155
Nationals +1.5 -135U 8.5 -115+125

Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.20 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Dylan Crews has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nasim Nunez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+7.30 Units / 81% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+21.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 59-60 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.51% ROI).

  • 71-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 5.27% ROI
  • 65-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 4.65% ROI
  • 54-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -12.74% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 70-50 against the Run Line (+10.45 Units / 6.35% ROI).

  • 59-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.25 Units / 4.79% ROI
  • 66-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.75 Units / 8.78% ROI
  • 50-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.4 Units / -16.65% ROI

Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
CJ Abrams +300
Pete Crow-Armstrong +300
Mike Busch +400
Seiya Suzuki +400
Ian Happ +425

Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
CJ Abrams 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mike Busch 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Alex Bregman 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Tena 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Dylan Crews 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Michael Conforto 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
CJ Abrams 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mike Busch 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cubs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-1 (.857) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs are 6-1 (.857) since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Nationals were just 64-79 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 22-76 (.224) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Cubs are batting .270 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,302 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .369 (480 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .807 (1,302 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .441 this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .770 (4,724 PA’s) this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .439 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 374 runs in the first 5 innings this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 18 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.26 (565.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.