- The Cubs (47-66) are -140 favorites vs the Nationals (38-78)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-5), 4.19 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-8), 4.80 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Chicago Cubs (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 47-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-68 ATS.
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +120 | O 8 -110 | -140 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 59 games (+21.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 64 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josiah Gray | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 103 games (+18.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 95 games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.65% ROI).
- 47-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.85 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.33% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-68 against the Run Line (-28.4 Units / -20.02% ROI).
- 38-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -18.45% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -7.88% ROI
Marcus Stroman: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (14/20) against Marcus Stroman vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (20/31) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 (14 GB hits out of 105 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.
Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (37 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strikeout rate of just 3% (2 SO in 74 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — second Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 61% (1,187/1,944) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (112 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 17-99 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Cubs are just 34-4 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Cubs are just 23-32 (.418) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Cubs are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are just 12-70 (.146) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 18-42 (.300) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 38-65 (.369) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .381 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 337 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 269 double plays in 2,049 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 44 double plays in 330 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.94 (468.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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