Cubs vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 15

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 15, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cubs (47-66) are -140 favorites vs the Nationals (38-78)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (3-5), 4.19 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-8), 4.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago Cubs (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+115) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cubs vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 47-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 48-68 ATS.

Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +120O 8 -110-140
Nationals +1.5 -145U 8 -110+115

Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 59 games (+21.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+18.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 64 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 46 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 36 games (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +1150 0.5
Joey Meneses 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Lane Thomas 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Joey Meneses 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Lane Thomas 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Joey Meneses 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Lane Thomas 0.5 +195 0.5 -300

Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josiah Gray 6.5 -115 6.5 -115
Marcus Stroman 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 103 games (+18.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 95 games (+6.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+3.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+0.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-55 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.65% ROI).

  • 47-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.85 Units / -13.11% ROI
  • 48-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.55 Units / -12.51% ROI
  • 58-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.33% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 48-68 against the Run Line (-28.4 Units / -20.02% ROI).

  • 38-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -18.45% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -7.88% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 70% (14/20) against Marcus Stroman vs left-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 65% (20/31) against Marcus Stroman — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .133 (14 GB hits out of 105 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .231 — 99th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of .682 (15 Total Bases / 22 ABs) vs left-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.

Josiah Gray: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .712 (37 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strikeout rate of just 3% (2 SO in 74 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — second Percentile.

Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 61% (1,187/1,944) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (112 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cubs are just 17-99 (.147) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Cubs are just 34-4 (.895) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Cubs are just 23-32 (.418) on the road this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Cubs are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Nationals are just 12-70 (.146) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 18-42 (.300) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Nationals are just 38-65 (.369) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Cubs are batting .381 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 337 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .643.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 269 double plays in 2,049 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 44 double plays in 330 opportunities (13%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.94 (468.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .305 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .274 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Nationals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.