- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Cubs / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on July 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Cubs are 51-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 44-47 ATS.
Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 6-5, 4.74 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 1-1, 3.18 ERA
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | O 10 -115 | +105 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 10 -105 | -125 |
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+8.70 Units / 217% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.90 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+11.45 Units / 114% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+7.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games at home (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 38-52 against the Run Line (-12.95 Units / -12.21% ROI).
- 51-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 49-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 4.53% ROI
- 41-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -12.2% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-47 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 42-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 50-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 6.95% ROI
- 39-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.8 Units / -15.64% ROI
Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | +220 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | +240 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +300 |
| Mike Busch | +300 |
| Ian Happ | +310 |
Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Pete Alonso | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colton Cowser | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Dylan Beavers | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are 32-18 (.640) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Cubs are 39-3 (.929) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .630.
The Cubs are 27-2 (.931) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are just 9-41 (.180) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .773 (1,002 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,002 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
The Cubs are batting .258 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,043 of their 3,594 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .356 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .660 (1,010 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .473 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are averaging 3.99 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 40% of the time this season — highest in MLB.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after their offense scores this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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