• The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
• Cubs vs Orioles Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Cubs / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | MARQ

The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on July 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Cubs are 52-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 44-48 ATS.

Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: David Peterson 4-7, 6.82 ERA
• Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 6-7, 4.72 ERA

Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+12.40 Units / 248% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 39% ROI)
• Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adley Rutschman has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.40 Units / 76% ROI)
• Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Orioles Best Bets Today:

• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 45 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games at home (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 games (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-52 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -11.09% ROI).

• 52-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.97% ROI
• 50-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 5.47% ROI
• 41-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -13.16% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 44-48 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -5.56% ROI).

• 42-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -12.6% ROI
• 51-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 7.85% ROI
• 39-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -16.55% ROI

Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .632.

The Cubs are 27-2 (.931) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Cubs are 33-18 (.647) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Cubs are 52-40 (.565) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Orioles are just 9-41 (.180) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Orioles are just 2-6 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 18-69 (.207) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,810 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .338 (3,633 PA’s) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 11% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends

Orioles hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .481 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 40% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends

The Orioles pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.41 (228.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 49% of their games this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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