Cubs vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2022, 10:43 AM
  • The Cubs (23-32) are -115 favorites vs the Orioles (23-33)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (6-0), 1.98 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-3), 6.81 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 23-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-23 ATS.

Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +140O 8.5 +100-115
Orioles +1.5 -165U 8.5 -120-105

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 70.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.75 Units / 96% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.95 Units / 139% ROI)
  • Rougned Odor has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-25 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.81% ROI).

  • 23-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -13.55% ROI
  • 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -2.06% ROI
  • 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -5.86% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 7% ROI).

  • 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.22% ROI
  • 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -15.37% ROI
  • 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 8.22% ROI

Keegan Thompson has struck out just 16% (17/104) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 11th lowest among among 111 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .159 (7-for-44) against Keegan Thompson on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 11th best among among 117 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .245 — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (19/98) against Keegan Thompson on sliders this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (271/472) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.

Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Bradish has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to April 29th — tied with Robbie Ray and Zach Plesac for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 8.83 (17.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.3 MPH this season (95 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 88.8

Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .914 (144 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .697 — fifth Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Cubs are just 3-17 (.150) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Cubs are just 13-82 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Cubs are just 6-24 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Orioles are just 22-26 (.458) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Orioles are just 25-143 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Orioles are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Orioles are just 19-67 (.221) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 260 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .143 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles have won just 49% of games in which they have scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 68%.

Orioles hitters have drawn 203 walks in 2,779 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Cubs have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (994.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Spenser Watkins (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.