- The Cubs (23-32) are -115 favorites vs the Orioles (23-33)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (6-0), 1.98 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-3), 6.81 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 23-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 33-23 ATS.
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 +100 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -120 | -105 |
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 70.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+5.75 Units / 96% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.95 Units / 139% ROI)
- Rougned Odor has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.40 Units / 44% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 13 away games (+11.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+9.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+4.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-25 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 0.81% ROI).
- 23-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.4 Units / -13.55% ROI
- 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -2.06% ROI
- 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -5.86% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 7% ROI).
- 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 1.22% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -15.37% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 8.22% ROI
Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keegan Thompson has struck out just 16% (17/104) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 11th lowest among among 111 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (7-for-44) against Keegan Thompson on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 11th best among among 117 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .245 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (19/98) against Keegan Thompson on sliders this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% — fourth Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (271/472) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.
Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to April 29th — tied with Robbie Ray and Zach Plesac for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 8.83 (17.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 3.88 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.3 MPH this season (95 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 88.8
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of .914 (144 PA’s) this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .697 — fifth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Cubs are just 3-17 (.150) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Cubs are just 13-82 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Cubs are just 6-24 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are just 22-26 (.458) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Orioles are just 25-143 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Orioles are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Orioles are just 19-67 (.221) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 260 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .392 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .143 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles have won just 49% of games in which they have scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 68%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 203 walks in 2,779 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (994.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Spenser Watkins (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
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