Cubs vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cubs (23-33) are -130 favorites vs the Orioles (24-33)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman (2-5), 5.324 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (3-4), 4.5 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Chicago Cubs (-130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Cubs vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 23-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 34-23 ATS.

Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +125O 8.5 +100-130
Orioles +1.5 -150U 8.5 -120+110

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 68.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 21 away games (+6.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.10 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+8.05 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 away games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+11.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games (+5.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-26 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.53% ROI).

  • 23-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.55 Units / -15.12% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -7.69% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 34-23 against the Run Line (+6 Units / 8.21% ROI).

  • 24-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 2.91% ROI
  • 24-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.45 Units / -13.52% ROI
  • 30-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 6.17% ROI

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 28% of the time (47/168) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has walked 4 of 105 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 94th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has thrown low pitches 54% of the time (1,351/2,510) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 92nd Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (25/73) against Marcus Stroman this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .880 (22 Total Bases / 25 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — third Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .417 (50 Total Bases / 120 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .242 (29-for-120) against Jordan Lyles with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — second Percentile.

Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .728 (135 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .488 — second Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Cubs are just 3-22 (.120) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Cubs are just 13-82 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Orioles are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 25-143 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Orioles are just 9-21 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are just 55-86 (.390) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 35 double plays in 260 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 608 of their 2,130 plate appearances (28%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Cubs are batting .396 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Cubs hitters have 1,532 strikeouts in 5,897 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .291 (4,024 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 778 of 8,306 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 24% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 27% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.20 (905.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (1909.1 IP) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Spenser Watkins (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Villar (Cubs): Mouth, D10
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Yan Gomes (Cubs): Oblique, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.