Cubs vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 2

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 02, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres are -160 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Padres starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
  • Watch the game on SDPA

The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-160) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Cubs vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cubs are 24-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 28-28 ATS.

Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -145O 8.5 +100+135
Padres -1.5 +120U 8.5 -120-160

Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 74.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+17.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 away games (+11.45 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+8.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.65 Units / 127% ROI)

Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Christopher Morel 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Rougned Odor 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Christopher Morel 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -130 0.5 +100
Rougned Odor 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +160 1.5 -210

Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Christopher Morel 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Rougned Odor 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Wacha 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Jameson Taillon 4.5 +125 4.5 -165
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 51 games (+7.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+17.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-25 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 6.99% ROI).

  • 24-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -13.46% ROI
  • 29-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.14% ROI
  • 25-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -11.36% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 28-28 against the Run Line (-5.15 Units / -7.05% ROI).

  • 26-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -17.83% ROI
  • 19-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.65 Units / -32.67% ROI
  • 35-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.5 Units / 24.05% ROI

Opponents are hitting .368 (14-for-38) against Jameson Taillon on sliders this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: .229 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (13/76) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (32/103) against Jameson Taillon this season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 42% — eighth Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 11 of 488 right-handed batters (2%) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .231 (6-for-26) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .350 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (9/69) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (24/71) against Michael Wacha in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.

26 of Michael Wacha’s 49 strikeouts (53%) have come on changeups this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Cubs are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Cubs are just 42-28 (.600) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Padres are 5-5 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Padres are just 22-2 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Padres are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Padres are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Cubs are batting just .292 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.

Padres hitters have drawn 178 walks in 1,453 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Padres are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Padres hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Padres are batting just .222 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,370 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Cubs pitchers have walked 35 of 490 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 503 times this season — fewest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 5% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 53% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH (1,372 batted balls) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .194 against Padres pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Padres vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Manuel Machado (Padres): Hand, D10
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
  • José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
  • Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Luis García (Padres): Oblique, D15
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
  • Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
  • Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D10
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
  • Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
  • Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15

Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.