- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Padres
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Padres starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers
- Watch the game on SDPA
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on Sunday, June 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 5:30pm EDT in San Diego.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Cubs vs Padres Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 25-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 29-29 ATS.
Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -115 | -110 |
Padres | +1.5 -175 | U 9 -105 | -110 |
Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 50 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+10.45 Units / 131% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.55 Units / 107% ROI)
Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Ian Happ | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Ryan Weathers | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+7.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 51 games (+19.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 6.24% ROI).
- 25-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.3 Units / -12.25% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -7.74% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 29-29 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- 27-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -17.94% ROI
- 19-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -34.79% ROI
- 37-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.5 Units / 26.34% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has walked 15 of 63 batters (24%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (48-for-256) against Marcus Stroman this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 96th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed an OPS of just .539 (283 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .701 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .277 (71 Total Bases / 256 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 60% (273/453) against right-handed batters this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 16% (8 SO in 50 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (49/227) against Ryan Weathers this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 30% — third Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed three-ball counts to 26% of batters they faced (28/108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 19% — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Cubs are just 26-13 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Cubs are just 1-98 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 5-5 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Padres are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Padres are 23-32 (.418) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Padres are just 24-2 (.923) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Cubs hitters have drawn 162 walks in 1,572 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Padres hitters have drawn 179 walks in 1,482 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Padres are batting just .220 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Padres are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 35 of 499 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 5% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,390 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Padres pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 518 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Elbow/Flexor, D60
- José Castillo (Padres): Shoulder, D15
- Jacob Lugo (Padres): Calf, D15
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nelson Cruz (Padres): Hamstring, D10
- Luis GarcÃa (Padres): Oblique, D15
- Robert Suarez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Nabil Crismatt (Padres): Hip Strain, D15
- Eguy Rosario (Padres): Ankle, D60
- Luis Campusano (Padres): Thumb Sprain, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Justin Steele (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Cody Bellinger (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D15
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
