- The Padres are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (+145) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-175) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in San Diego.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Cubs vs Padres Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 26-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 29-30 ATS.
Cubs vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | +145 |
| Padres | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -175 |
Cubs vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 36 of his last 44 games (+19.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+12.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Juan Soto has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 112% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+7.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Padres vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
Padres vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Carpenter | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Blake Snell | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+8.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 52 games (+20.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+5.45 Units / 7.43% ROI).
- 26-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -2.89% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -6.04% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 29-30 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -7.89% ROI).
- 27-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -19.01% ROI
- 19-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -35.87% ROI
- 38-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.5 Units / 27.45% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (83/292) against Kyle Hendricks since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average spin rate of 1893.7 RPM on fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: 2226.7 — second Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (108 Total Bases / 194 ABs) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: .392 — 0 Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 36% of batters they faced (90/248 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 45% (140/309) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 34% of batters they faced (66/192 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 57% (468/816) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Cubs are just 15-27 (.357) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Cubs are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Cubs are just 1-98 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Cubs are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Padres are 5-6 (.455) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Padres are 23-33 (.411) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Padres are just 5-84 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Padres are just 23-4 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .410 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .207 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Padres are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Padres are batting just .221 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Padres hitters have drawn 599 walks in 5,875 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (1,390 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 111 times this season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Padres pitchers have walked 26 of 211 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH (1,413 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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