Cubs vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

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  • The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
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The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on April 14, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Cubs are 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-12 ATS.

Cubs vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Riley Martin 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 1-1, 3.64 ERA

Cubs vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -175O 9.5 -110+120
Phillies -1.5 +145U 9.5 -110-145

Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+13.00 Units / 130% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.70 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.13 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Otto Kemp has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.50 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 5-11 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -34.08% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -26.4% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 15.06% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -22.03% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-12 against the Run Line (-7.85 Units / -45.91% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -15.58% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 2.25% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -8.88% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Cubs are 52-26 (.667) after a loss since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs are 42-9 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Phillies are 17-52 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 29-99 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters slugged .434 against LHP in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Cubs hitters drew walks in 5% of their PA’s against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have 3 extra-base hits out of 19 total hits (just 16%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — tied for highest in MLB.

The Phillies batted .258 in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .252 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 27 runners in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers had a strike rate of 66% in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 6% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this month (11 games) — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.