- The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Phillies TV Channel: MARQ | NSPA | ESUN
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on April 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 8-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-13 ATS.
Cubs vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 0-1, 2.82 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 1-2, 6.24 ERA
Cubs vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- Matt Shaw has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+19.00 Units / 238% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jesus Luzardo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+6.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 45 games (+1.55 Units / 3% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 6-11 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -26.03% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -20.56% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 19.52% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -26.6% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-13 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -48.9% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -19.75% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 7.43% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -14.29% ROI
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are just 1-6 (.143) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Cubs are 42-9 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .034.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 17-53 (.243) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies are 46-28 (.622) after a loss since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Phillies are 87-23 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters drew walks in 5% of their PA’s against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Cubs hitters slugged .292 with two-strikes in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters slugged .441 on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Cubs batted just .239 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Phillies are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
The Phillies batted .373 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers picked-off 25 runners from first base in the 2025 season — most in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Phillies pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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