- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad
- Pirates starting pitcher: Colin Selby
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Saturday, August 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 67-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 64-64 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -115 | -135 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -150 | U 9.5 -105 | +115 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 64.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+20.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+18.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+15.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Palacios has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.35 Units / 92% ROI)
- Josh Palacios has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.75 Units / 28% ROI)
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Liover Peguero | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Palacios | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Selby | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -185 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 32 games (+16.84 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.09 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+7.67 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 59 of their last 101 games (+13.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.32 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 32 games (+4.34 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 65-63 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.77% ROI).
- 67-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 1.07% ROI
- 67-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 55-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.35 Units / -13.22% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 64-64 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -9.31% ROI).
- 58-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 68-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 6.4% ROI
- 54-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.25 Units / -14.49% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 44% (113/257) of the time this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (93/495) against Javier Assad this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (93/495) against Javier Assad this season — 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (50/259) against Javier Assad this season — 7th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 29% — seventh Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Selby has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (8/18) of opposing batters — tied for 14th lowest among among 237 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Colin Selby has allowed an OPS of 1.456 (15 PA’s) vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (6 games) — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .733 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (11-for-35) against Colin Selby over the last 30 days (7 games) — 11th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 10th Percentile.
Colin Selby has thrown off-speed pitches 87% of the time (26/30) with two-strikes — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Cubs are 58-4 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Cubs are just 26-31 (.456) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
The Cubs are 35-7 (.833) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 16-32 (.333) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Pirates are just 8-17 (.320) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 47-71 (.398) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Pirates are just 14-132 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .131.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .316 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 143 total hits (just 29%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .220 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .504 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .378 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,153 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Cubs pitchers since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs have won 37% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Cubs pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,055 of 11,209 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,661 of 17,349 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The longest HR allowed by the Pirates pitchers this season traveled 454.0 feet — — 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 464.7
Pirates pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 90 times since last season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Angel Perdomo (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Henry Davis (Pirates): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
Bet now on Cubs vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
