• The Cubs are -102 favorites vs the Pirates
• Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT

The Chicago Cubs (-102) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-118) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cubs are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 52-49 ATS.

Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 6-1, 4.18 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 2-1, 4.05 ERA

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+13.10 Units / 146% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.50 Units / 53% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+22.00 Units / 275% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.75 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.65 Units / 22% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+15.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 45-56 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -7.52% ROI).

• 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI
• 54-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.58% ROI
• 47-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -10.57% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 52-49 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.1% ROI).

• 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -3.89% ROI
• 59-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.05 Units / 12.4% ROI
• 41-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.7 Units / -20.92% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cubs are 19-6 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Cubs are 25-12 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

The Cubs are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Cubs are 23-1 (.958) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Pirates are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are 41-10 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Pirates are just 23-30 (.434) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Pirates are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,113 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,168 of their 4,021 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Cubs are batting .263 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (2,051 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .782 (2,885 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .349 (2,885 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .309 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .812 (1,987 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 38% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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