• The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
• Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT

The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on July 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cubs are 59-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 53-50 ATS.

Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 2-5, 5.38 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft 9-4, 3.92 ERA

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.90 Units / 66% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+13.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 away games (+11.80 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.70 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 46-57 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -7.37% ROI).

• 59-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.58% ROI
• 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.44% ROI
• 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -10.45% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 53-50 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.07% ROI).

• 53-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.61% ROI
• 60-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.95 Units / 12.07% ROI
• 42-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.8 Units / -20.61% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Cubs are 25-12 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (second in runs scored).

The Cubs are 19-6 (.760) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .630.

The Cubs are 24-1 (.960) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Cubs are 31-3 (.912) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Pirates are just 4-27 (.129) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Pirates are just 23-30 (.434) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Pirates are 41-11 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Pirates are just 4-27 (.129) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (1,124 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .355 (2,051 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,197 of their 4,109 plate appearances (29%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,124 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .306 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .348 (2,903 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .798 (2,060 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 38% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 16 runners this season — most in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 1.74 runs per game (183/105) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 27% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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