- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-37 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -110 | -135 |
Pirates | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+23.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Austin Hedges | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Christopher Morel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Johan Oviedo | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 52% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 games at home (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 68 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 39-33 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 4.44% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -4.71% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -4.25% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 34-37 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -11.68% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -1.05% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.07% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 53% of the time (369/695) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (88 Total Bases / 325 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .300 (72 Total Bases / 240 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .476 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 17 of 81 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has walked 23 of 125 batters (18%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 21 of 122 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (103/216) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 22 of 193 left-handed batters (11%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 19th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Cubs are just 1-104 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 1-4 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 4-113 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 15-90 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Pirates are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .301 (4,413 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .177 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 43 of 637 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 7% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed the 26th hardest ball in play hit (117.5 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.1).
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 60 of 624 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 57 of 483 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Wrist, D15
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
Bet now on Cubs vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
