- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Chicago Cubs (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+115) on Tuesday, June 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-37 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -110 | -135 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -110 | +115 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 49 games (+23.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 52% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 games at home (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 68 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 39-33 against the Run Line (+4.1 Units / 4.44% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -4.71% ROI
- 35-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -4.25% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 34-37 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -11.68% ROI).
- 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -1.05% ROI
- 34-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 33-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.07% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 53% of the time (369/695) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (88 Total Bases / 325 ABs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .300 (72 Total Bases / 240 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .476 — 100th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has walked 17 of 81 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has walked 23 of 125 batters (18%) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 21 of 122 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has located his fastball up for a strike just 48% (103/216) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 22 of 193 left-handed batters (11%) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 19th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Cubs are just 1-104 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 1-4 (.200) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 28-13 (.683) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 4-113 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 15-90 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Pirates are just 0-35 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.12 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .409 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .301 (4,413 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Pirates are batting just .177 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 43 of 637 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 7% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed the 26th hardest ball in play hit (117.5 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.1).
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 60 of 624 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 57 of 483 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Pirates pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Wrist, D15
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
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