- The Cubs (25-41) are -110 favorites vs the Pirates (26-39)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (0-1), 8.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (0-7), 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 25-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 28-37 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
Pirates | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Diego Castillo | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Cal Mitchell | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Diego Castillo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Diego Castillo | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
JT Brubaker | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -125 |
Caleb Kilian | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.44% ROI).
- 25-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -19.92% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.14% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 28-37 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -17.35% ROI).
- 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -15.51% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 6.9% ROI
Caleb Kilian: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Caleb Kilian has limited playing time.
Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JT Brubaker has allowed an OPS of 1.606 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.012 — second Percentile.
JT Brubaker has allowed a slugging percentage of .970 (32 Total Bases / 33 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .563 — second Percentile.
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 56% (168/298) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .515 (17-for-33) against JT Brubaker when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Cubs are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cubs are just 13-25 (.342) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Cubs are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Pirates are just 71-18 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Pirates are just 43-100 (.301) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Pirates are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 570 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 264 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .382 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .454 (4,358 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .226 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .660 (2,495 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 191 of 1,968 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 250 of 2,484 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 52 of 569 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 240 of 2,492 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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