Cubs vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2022, 11:21 AM
  • The Cubs (25-41) are -110 favorites vs the Pirates (26-39)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (0-1), 8.00 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (0-7), 4.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 25-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 28-37 ATS.

Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +150O 8 -105-110
Pirates +1.5 -185U 8 -115-110

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.50 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Jack Suwinski has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

    Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Diego Castillo 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

    Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Bryan Reynolds 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
    Cal Mitchell 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Daniel Vogelbach 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Diego Castillo 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Jack Suwinski 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

    Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    JT Brubaker 5.5 -110 5.5 -125
    Caleb Kilian 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+11.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 away games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+7.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 24 games (+2.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 21 games (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.44% ROI).

    • 25-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -19.92% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.11% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.14% ROI

    Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 28-37 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -17.35% ROI).

    • 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2.63% ROI
    • 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -15.51% ROI
    • 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 6.9% ROI

    Caleb Kilian has limited playing time.

    Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    JT Brubaker has allowed an OPS of 1.606 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.012 — second Percentile.

    JT Brubaker has allowed a slugging percentage of .970 (32 Total Bases / 33 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .563 — second Percentile.

    JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 56% (168/298) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .515 (17-for-33) against JT Brubaker when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.

    Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

    The Cubs are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

    The Cubs are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Cubs are just 13-25 (.342) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Cubs are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

    Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

    The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

    The Pirates are just 71-18 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.

    The Pirates are just 43-100 (.301) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

    The Pirates are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

    Cubs hitters have 570 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 264 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    The Cubs are batting .382 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

    Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

    Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .454 (4,358 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

    Pirates hitters are slugging just .226 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.

    Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .660 (2,495 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 191 of 1,968 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 250 of 2,484 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 52 of 569 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates pitchers have walked 240 of 2,492 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): COVID-19, D10
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Duane Underwood Jr. (Pirates): COVID-19, D15
  • Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
  • Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Back, D15
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Back, D10
  • Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, D10
  • Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Frank J. Schwindel (Cubs): Back, D10
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.