- The Cubs (25-41) are -110 favorites vs the Pirates (26-39)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Caleb Kilian (0-1), 8.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker (0-7), 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 25-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 28-37 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -185 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Mitchell | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Diego Castillo | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jack Suwinski | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| JT Brubaker | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -125 |
| Caleb Kilian | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 33-33 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -6.44% ROI).
- 25-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -19.92% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -4.14% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 28-37 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -17.35% ROI).
- 26-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2.63% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -15.51% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 6.9% ROI
Caleb Kilian: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Caleb Kilian has limited playing time.
Jonathan Brubaker: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
JT Brubaker has allowed an OPS of 1.606 (44 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.012 — second Percentile.
JT Brubaker has allowed a slugging percentage of .970 (32 Total Bases / 33 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .563 — second Percentile.
JT Brubaker has a strike rate of just 56% (168/298) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .515 (17-for-33) against JT Brubaker when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .327 — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 2-13 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Cubs are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cubs are just 13-25 (.342) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Cubs are just 1-35 (.028) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Pirates are just 71-18 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Pirates are just 43-100 (.301) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Pirates are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 570 strikeouts in 2,308 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 264 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .382 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .454 (4,358 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .226 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .660 (2,495 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Cubs have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Cubs have won just 8% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 191 of 1,968 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 250 of 2,484 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 52 of 569 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 240 of 2,492 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Pirates vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.