- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
- Pirates starting pitcher: Richard Hill
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, June 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 35-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 34-38 ATS.
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 53.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 50 games (+21.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+16.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+15.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mitch Keller has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.60 Units / 60% ROI)
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Kyle Hendricks | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 26% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 44 games (+19.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games at home (+0.35 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 40-33 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 5.73% ROI).
- 35-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 35-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 36-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.94% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 34-38 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -13.02% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -4.28% ROI
- 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -3.74% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has not allowed a runner to reach base (17 PA’s) versus the top of the order over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (8/81) against Kyle Hendricks over the last 14 days (2 games) — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has allowed an OBP of just .152 (46 PA’s) over the last 14 days (2 games) — best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .314 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 86.8 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
14 of Rich Hill’s 39 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (407/935) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (628/1,301) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (65/198) against Rich Hill this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 18-27 (.400) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Cubs are just 1-104 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Cubs are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 4-114 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Pirates are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 9-107 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Pirates are just 0-36 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .418 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,668 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Pirates are batting just .233 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates are batting just .150 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 43 of 646 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.1 MPH (1,797 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers this season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 35 of 272 batters (13%) over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 847 of 8,988 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 61 of 633 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,453 of 15,128 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew McCutchen (Pirates): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- JarlÃn GarcÃa (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Robert Zastryzny (Pirates): Forearm, D15
- Colin Holderman (Pirates): Wrist, D15
- Jose Hernandez (Pirates): Calf, D15
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Man Choi (Pirates): Achilles, D60
- Bryan Reynolds (Pirates): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- William Crowe (Pirates): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Adrian Sampson (Cubs): Right Meniscus, D60
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, D10
- Dansby Swanson (Cubs): Wrist, Day-to-Day
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