- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Chicago Cubs (-130) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 29-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-25 ATS.
Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-2, 2.12 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 4-3, 3.99 ERA
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -130 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -115 | +105 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+13.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 away games (+7.65 Units / 112% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+15.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- Konnor Griffin has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Spencer Horwitz has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 21-32 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -17.83% ROI).
- 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.49% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.3 Units / 5.8% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -13.43% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 27-25 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 2.09% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -11.37% ROI
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +360 |
| Oneil Cruz | +475 |
| Mike Busch | +500 |
| Ian Happ | +525 |
| Seiya Suzuki | +525 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Horwitz | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Konnor Griffin | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mike Busch | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Michael Conforto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 8-1 (.889) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Cubs are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Cubs are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Pirates are 25-3 (.893) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Pirates are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Pirates are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 15% of their PA’s when leading off an inning this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting .316 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.
The Pirates are batting .274 at home this season — best in MLB.
Pirates hitters have struck out in 28% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 131 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,315 balls in play) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB
Cubs pitchers have allowed 73 home runs this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 562 times this season — 4th most in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Pirates pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed 46 home runs this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .365 this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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