Cubs vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 10

Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his single against the Baltimore Orioles during the ninth inning of a baseball game, Saturday, May 27, 2023, in Baltimore. The Rangers won 5-3.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
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  • The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Cubs / Rangers TV Channel: MARQ | RASN

The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on May 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Cubs are 27-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 18-20 ATS.

Cubs vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 2-1, 4.24 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom 2-2, 3.11 ERA

Cubs vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -200O 8 -118+110
Rangers -1.5 +165U 8 -102-135

Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+11.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+15.60 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 24 games (+16.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+16.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+3.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 44% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 19-21 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -2.58% ROI).

  • 27-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 17.84% ROI
  • 24-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 17.73% ROI
  • 15-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -25.71% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 18-20 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -12.81% ROI).

  • 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -8.46% ROI
  • 15-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -21.09% ROI
  • 22-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.85 Units / 13.72% ROI

Rangers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Corey Seager +310
Jake Burger +340
Ian Happ +400
Brandon Nimmo +400
Mike Busch +400

Rangers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Corey Seager 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jake Burger 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Moises Ballesteros 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jake Burger 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Carson Kelly 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Josh Jung 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cubs are 7-0 (1.000) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Cubs are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Cubs are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Cubs are 8-4 (.667) after a loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Rangers are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Rangers are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .375 (481 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .815 (481 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters are slugging .440 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .284 (809 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Rangers hitters are slugging just .278 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .561 (354 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (354 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are batting just .198 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.04 (213.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have had second base stolen on them 31 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (153.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .282 (341 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.