Cubs vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 6

Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh, right, watches as Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz hits a lead off single off Seattle starter Bryce Miller during the first inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 10, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Steve Nesius)
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The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on April 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Cubs are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 4-5 ATS.

Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 0-1, 3.86 ERA

Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 117 games (+13.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 26 away games (+13.15 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 79 of their last 159 games (+12.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 46 games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 65 of their last 114 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 25% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -27.66% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -27.88% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -12.04% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 3.86% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -14.41% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -12.44% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 39.38% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -47.78% ROI

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Cubs were 46-24 (.657) after a loss in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs were 42-39 (.519) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .457.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays were just 63-11 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Rays are 52-6 (.881) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Rays are just 15-22 (.405) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are batting just .151 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have struck out in just 13% of their PA’s in righty-righty matchups this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .248 (106 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 76 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters had an OPS of just .638 (1,859 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have an OBP of .342 (367 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 4% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers picked-off 27 runners in the 2025 season — most in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.