Cubs vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

Tampa Bay Rays' Yandy Diaz reacts after his solo home run off Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Hyun Jin Ryu during the first inning of a baseball game Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
  • The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cubs / Rays TV Channel: MARQ | BSUN

The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Cubs are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-39 ATS.

Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-2, 2.73 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.51 ERA

Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -210O 7.5 -105+100
Rays -1.5 +160U 7.5 -115-120

Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Cubs vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 36 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 64 games (+23.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 33-34 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -10.08% ROI).

  • 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.46% ROI
  • 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -11.67% ROI
  • 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 3% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-39 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -14.97% ROI).

  • 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -14.22% ROI
  • 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.5% ROI
  • 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -7.51% ROI

Rays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Rays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Mike Tauchman (CHC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Rays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cody Bellinger (CHC) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Christopher Morel (CHC) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Josh Lowe (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Rays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Javier Assad (CHC) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Aaron Civale (TB) 5.5 +100 5.5 -135

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .409 (180 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .736 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .437 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 (20-for-154) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has a strike rate of just 60% (317/527) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (27 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (65/201) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Cubs are just 3-11 (.214) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Cubs are just 43-42 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Cubs are just 14-22 (.389) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

The Cubs are just 2-26 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Rays are 44-4 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Rays are just 9-21 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Rays are 69-45 (.605) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Cubs are batting just .206 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Cubs hitters have 321 extra-base hits out of 863 total hits (37%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .282 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters have 153 strikeouts in 609 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,453 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Cubs pitchers this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 56 of 595 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (5,700 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 1,010 of 14,504 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
  • Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

Bet now on Cubs vs Rays and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.