- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Reds
- Cubs starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago Cubs (-120) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+100) on Wednesday, April 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 3-2 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | + + | O + | -120 |
| Reds | + + | U + | +100 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the RBIs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Nick Senzel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +130 | 7.5 -165 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 167 games (+11.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+6.70 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 83 away games (+4.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 83 away games (+3.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 70 of their last 137 games (+0.90 Units / 1% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 84 of their last 167 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 2-3 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -23.39% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -21.74% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 11.61% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -25% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 26.05% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 9.76% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 15.45% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -22.73% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 75% (9/12) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Marcus Stroman’s pitches (11/29) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Marcus Stroman threw his curveball 40% of the time (431/1,073) against right-handed batters in 2022 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 42% (15/36) against Marcus Stroman this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 530 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 100.4 MPH this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 48 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 32-21 (.604) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Cubs are just 57-43 (.570) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 6-65 (.085) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Reds are just 15-25 (.375) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Reds are just 6-152 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging 1.250 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters have 787 strikeouts in 3,166 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of 1.009 (35 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Reds hitters are slugging 1.000 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Reds hitters are slugging just .487 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Reds hitters are slugging 1.385 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 7 of 44 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers walked 612 of 6,220 batters (10%) in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 633 of 6,425 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,250 of 12,624 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .299 against Reds pitchers with runners on base in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Nicholas Senzel (Reds): Toe, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Patrick Wisdom (Cubs): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
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