Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Reds (44-67) are -120 favorites vs the Cubs (46-65)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-3), 3.83 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (5-2), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 46-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-59 ATS.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -190O 9 -105+100
Reds -1.5 +155U 9 -115-120

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 57 games (+19.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+17.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.50 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Donovan Solano 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jake Fraley 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Joey Votto 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jose Barrero 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
Donovan Solano 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Jake Fraley 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Joey Votto 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jose Barrero 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Donovan Solano 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jake Fraley 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Joey Votto 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Jose Barrero 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Sampson 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 away games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 away games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 85 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 57-54 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.72% ROI).

  • 46-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -13.02% ROI
  • 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.54% ROI
  • 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 5.4% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -9.23% ROI).

  • 44-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.33% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.36% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (3/16) against Adrian Sampson vs left-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (5/18) against Adrian Sampson this month (1 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (13 Total Bases / 22 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .403 — ninth Percentile.

Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Graham Ashcraft — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 93rd Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (19/149) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/159) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 24-34 (.414) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Cubs are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cubs are just 7-21 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Reds are just 20-34 (.370) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Reds are just 7-25 (.219) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Reds are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 329 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Reds hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Reds are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,994 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .283 (512 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 60 double plays in 863 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,036 of 10,479 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 419 of 4,280 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Lower Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.