Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 13, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Reds (44-67) are -120 favorites vs the Cubs (46-65)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-3), 3.83 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (5-2), 3.93 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-120) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Reds are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 46-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-59 ATS.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -190O 9 -105+100
Reds -1.5 +155U 9 -115-120

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 57 games (+19.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 40 of his last 62 games (+17.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.50 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Donovan Solano 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Jake Fraley 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Joey Votto 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jose Barrero 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 -155 0.5 +105
Donovan Solano 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Jake Fraley 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Joey Votto 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Jose Barrero 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Donovan Solano 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jake Fraley 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Joey Votto 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Jose Barrero 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adrian Sampson 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+13.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 away games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 away games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+4.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+13.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 85 games (+6.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 85 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 57-54 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -3.72% ROI).

  • 46-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -13.02% ROI
  • 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.54% ROI
  • 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 5.4% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-59 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -9.23% ROI).

  • 44-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -9.21% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.33% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.36% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (3/16) against Adrian Sampson vs left-handed batters — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 37% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (5/18) against Adrian Sampson this month (1 games) — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Adrian Sampson has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (13 Total Bases / 22 ABs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .403 — ninth Percentile.

Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Graham Ashcraft has not walked any of the 30 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (2-for-20) against Graham Ashcraft — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 93rd Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (19/149) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (20/159) against Graham Ashcraft on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 24-34 (.414) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Cubs are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are just 33-4 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cubs are just 7-21 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Reds are just 20-34 (.370) on the road this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Reds are just 7-25 (.219) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.

The Reds are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 329 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Reds hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Reds are batting just .223 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,994 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .283 (512 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 60 double plays in 863 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 1,036 of 10,479 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Reds pitchers have walked 419 of 4,280 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Lower Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.