Cubs vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Cubs (47-65) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (44-68)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (9-5), 3.36 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (0-1), 5.78 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Chicago Cubs (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 47-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-60 ATS.

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 +105O 9.5 -120-150
Reds +1.5 -130U 9.5 +100+125

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 58 games (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 63 games (+19.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.50 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Stuart Fairchild has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 74% ROI)

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Austin Romine 0.5 +500 0.5 -1000
Donovan Solano 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jake Fraley 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Aristides Aquino 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Austin Romine 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Donovan Solano 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jake Fraley 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Almora Jr. 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Aristides Aquino 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Austin Romine 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Donovan Solano 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Jake Fraley 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Dunn 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Keegan Thompson 4.5 -145 4.5 +105
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 away games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 86 games (+5.20 Units / 5% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-54 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -2.99% ROI).

  • 47-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -12.09% ROI
  • 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.42% ROI
  • 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 5.35% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -9.88% ROI).

  • 44-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -10.16% ROI
  • 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.31% ROI
  • 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.3% ROI

Keegan Thompson has struck out just 4% (1/23) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 47 PAs) this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .455 (10-for-22) against Keegan Thompson this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 59% (101/171) this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Justin Dunn — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are just 19-52 (.268) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Cubs are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Cubs are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are 122-6 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Reds are just 24-34 (.414) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Reds are just 9-53 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Reds are just 3-55 (.052) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 331 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Cubs hitters have 684 strikeouts in 2,735 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .287 (515 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Reds hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,994 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Reds pitchers have walked 423 of 4,320 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Reds pitchers have walked 89 of 984 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 62 double plays in 874 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.