- The Cubs (47-65) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (44-68)
- Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (9-5), 3.36 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Justin Dunn (0-1), 5.78 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago Cubs (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 47-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 52-60 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -130 | U 9.5 +100 | +125 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 64.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 45 of his last 58 games (+20.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 63 games (+19.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 away games (+16.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.50 Units / 91% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.95 Units / 74% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Almora Jr. | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Aristides Aquino | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Romine | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Dunn | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Keegan Thompson | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 away games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+12.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 86 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 86 games (+5.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 58-54 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -2.99% ROI).
- 47-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.35 Units / -12.09% ROI
- 47-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.42% ROI
- 58-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 5.35% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-60 against the Run Line (-13.7 Units / -9.88% ROI).
- 44-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -10.16% ROI
- 56-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -3.31% ROI
- 54-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -6.3% ROI
Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keegan Thompson has struck out just 4% (1/23) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has a strikeout rate of just 9% (4 SO in 47 PAs) this month (2 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .455 (10-for-22) against Keegan Thompson this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 59% (101/171) this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Justin Dunn: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Justin Dunn — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 19-52 (.268) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Cubs are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Cubs are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Cubs are 122-6 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Reds are just 24-34 (.414) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Reds are just 9-53 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Reds are just 3-55 (.052) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 331 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Cubs hitters have 684 strikeouts in 2,735 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .287 (515 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds hitters are slugging just .330 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,994 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 423 of 4,320 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .301 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds pitchers have walked 89 of 984 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 62 double plays in 874 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, D10
- Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
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