- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | RDTV
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cubs are 52-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 49-41 ATS.
Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-7, 4.29 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 0-1, 24.02 ERA
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -118 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 -102 | -105 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 48% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+5.60 Units / 112% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Greene has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Hunter Greene has hit the Strikeouts Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-52 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -11.09% ROI).
- 52-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.97% ROI
- 50-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 5.47% ROI
- 41-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -13.16% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 49-41 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -2.93% ROI).
- 42-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.45% ROI
- 52-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 9.86% ROI
- 38-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -18.72% ROI
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | +240 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | +240 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +250 |
| Spencer Steer | +250 |
| JJ Bleday | +280 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Noelvi Marte | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Cubs are 27-2 (.931) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Cubs are 52-41 (.559) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 26-11 (.703) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Reds (22nd in runs scored).
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Reds are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .351 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,810 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .365 (367 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
Reds hitters are slugging just .460 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .208 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .217 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 74% of their games this season — highest in MLB.
Cubs pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.76 (217.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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