• The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Reds
• Cubs vs Reds Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Cubs / Reds TV Channel: MARQ | RDTV

The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on July 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cubs are 52-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 51-41 ATS.

Cubs vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-1, 4.16 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 3-2, 4.66 ERA

Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.10 Units / 216% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 28% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• JJ Bleday has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 25% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+4.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 40-53 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -10.8% ROI).

• 52-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -0.79% ROI
• 50-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 3.23% ROI
• 43-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -10.94% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 51-41 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.36% ROI).

• 43-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -6.32% ROI
• 52-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 7.73% ROI
• 40-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.6 Units / -16.31% ROI

Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cubs are 27-2 (.931) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Cubs are 15-4 (.789) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .631.

The Cubs are 52-42 (.553) this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 21-1 (.955) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Reds are 5-43 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Reds are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 7-39 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .353 (1,810 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Cubs have scored first in just 25% of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .365 (375 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 45% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

Reds hitters have struck out in 25% of their PA’s against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .211 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .461 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .209 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 15 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 75% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 39% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 62% this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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