- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: –
- Reds starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago Cubs () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 71-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 83-52 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 53.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+18.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+14.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+22.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Graham Ashcraft has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.35 Units / 68% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Steer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.69 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+10.52 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+7.04 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 134 games (+23.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+14.84 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games at home (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 68-65 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 71-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.7% ROI
- 69-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 58-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.5 Units / -12.11% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 83-52 against the Run Line (+22.65 Units / 12.62% ROI).
- 69-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.05 Units / 9.62% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -5.19% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -3.72% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (127/285) of the time this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 9% (5/54) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (103/530) against Javier Assad this season — 5th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 21% (37/173) against Javier Assad this season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 10th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of .371 (313 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has walked 31 of 314 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 22% (87/398) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 16th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% (215/437) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 87th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are 37-7 (.841) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Cubs are 62-4 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Cubs are just 28-31 (.475) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are 23-43 (.348) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Reds are 21-9 (.700) after a win as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Reds are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are 21-14 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .264 (2,809 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 59% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 27-8 (.771) against the run line (35.7% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Reds are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Reds hitters are averaging 3.96 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Reds hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,310 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .208 against Cubs pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Cubs have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 247 of 2,631 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Young (Reds): Hamstring, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Christian Greene (Reds): Covid-19, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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