- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 0-0 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -105 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -115 | -105 |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+21.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+16.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+15.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+23.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Javier Assad | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 37 games (+17.69 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+10.52 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+7.04 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 69% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 134 games (+23.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 51 games at home (+14.84 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games at home (+11.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 64 games at home (+5.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
keys to the game – away
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are just 42-32 (.568) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are just 38-41 (.481) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Reds are 55-1 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Reds are 23-44 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 152 total hits (just 29%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are 28-9 (.757) against the run line (32.9% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Reds hitters are slugging just .188 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Games involving the Reds went UNDER in 72% of their games (39.7% ROI) after a loss as favorites since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds are batting just .319 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,334 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have walked 82 of 1,198 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won 38% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds pitchers have walked 380 of 4,089 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Young (Reds): Hamstring, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Christian Greene (Reds): Covid-19, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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