- The – are favorites vs the –
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Reds starting pitcher: William Spiers
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago Cubs () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Cubs vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 72-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 85-53 ATS.
Cubs vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Cubs vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+20.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 away games (+14.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 28 games (+14.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+22.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+17.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Reds vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+14.59 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 away games (+2.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 137 games (+24.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+2.70 Units / 15% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 69-67 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.19% ROI).
- 72-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 69-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 0.77% ROI
- 61-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -9.82% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 85-53 against the Run Line (+23.1 Units / 12.55% ROI).
- 71-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.15 Units / 10.16% ROI
- 66-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -7.31% ROI
- 70-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -1.64% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 3rd — Joe Ryan has the longest active streak at 9.
Jameson Taillon has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (1,049/2,045) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (32/215) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 69% (651/940) against right-handed batters this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carson Spiers is making his MLB debut today.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cubs are just 28-32 (.467) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are 38-7 (.844) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Reds are 23-44 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Reds are just 42-32 (.568) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Reds are just 38-41 (.481) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have 101 extra-base hits out of 323 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Games involving the Reds went UNDER in 72% of their games (39.7% ROI) after a loss as favorites since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds are 29-9 (.763) against the run line (33.8% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Reds hitters are slugging just .188 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,378 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Cubs pitchers have walked 82 of 1,207 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs have won 38% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Young (Reds): Hamstring, D15
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew McLain (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Toe, D15
- Brandon Williamson (Reds): COVID, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Covid-19, D10
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): COVID-19, D10
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Shoulder, D10
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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