- The Cubs are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks
- Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Chicago Cubs (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Monday, September 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Cubs vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 77-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 66-74 ATS.
Cubs vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -125 | O 11.5 -115 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 11.5 -105 | +150 |
Cubs vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 76.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+21.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 21 games (+18.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 15 away games (+15.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+15.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 25 games at home (+19.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+16.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rockies vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -190 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Rockies vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Kyle Freeland | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+14.33 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.27 Units / 44% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 51 games (+15.61 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+11.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 75-69 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 2.07% ROI).
- 77-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 71-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -2.36% ROI
- 67-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -6.79% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 66-74 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -6.35% ROI).
- 50-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.35 Units / -14.3% ROI
- 64-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.4 Units / -11.31% ROI
- 74-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 2.96% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has not walked any of the 27 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 27 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 3rd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 20% — sixth Percentile.
Dane Dunning located 59% of his pitches down (399/674) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Jordan Wicks had a strike rate of 72% (63/87) — tied for highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .312 (142-for-455) against Kyle Freeland this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — second Percentile.
Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (252 Total Bases / 455 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .398 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .275 (77-for-280) against Kyle Freeland when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .188 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (148/907) against Kyle Freeland this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs are just 33-42 (.440) after a home loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Cubs are 41-7 (.854) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Cubs are just 18-25 (.419) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies are just 39-12 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 35-18 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have been successful in 94% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.01 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Cubs hitters have 103 extra-base hits out of 331 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies are just 39-12 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) against the run line (-100.0% ROI) after a win as favorites this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have walked 86 of 1,271 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 30 of 476 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 5 of 118 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Jeimer Candelario (Cubs): Back, Day-to-Day
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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