- The Cubs are -185 favorites vs the Rockies
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad
- Rockies starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Chicago Cubs (-185) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+150) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Cubs vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 78-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 68-75 ATS.
Cubs vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 -125 | O 12.5 -110 | -185 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +105 | U 12.5 -110 | +150 |
Cubs vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 77.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 49 games (+20.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+14.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 31 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+14.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Yan Gomes | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Nick Madrigal | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Yan Gomes | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Cody Bellinger | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yan Gomes | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
Rockies vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
| Chris Flexen | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 games (+17.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.88 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 52 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.27 Units / 50% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 52 games (+14.61 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games at home (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 75-70 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 78-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 71-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -3.67% ROI
- 69-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.55 Units / -5.4% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 68-75 against the Run Line (-8.95 Units / -5.49% ROI).
- 51-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.85 Units / -13.48% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.75% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (120/257) of the time this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (144/321) of the time this season — lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 20% (40/201) against Javier Assad this season — 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Javier Assad has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (137/260) of opposing batters this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .397 (25-for-63) against Chris Flexen’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .730 (46 Total Bases / 63 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 0 Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .952 (374 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .740 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (191 Total Bases / 336 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .425 — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Cubs are 17-14 (.548) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 42-7 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rockies are just 35-18 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Rockies are just 12-12 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 39-13 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rockies are just 35-23 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Cubs pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have walked 88 of 1,289 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Cubs pitchers have walked 7 of 127 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.25 (616.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Rockies vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jeimer Candelario (Cubs): Back, Day-to-Day
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Forearm, D15
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