Cubs vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 7

Kansas City Royals' Vinnie Pasquantino at bat during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Monday, April 3, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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  • The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Royals
  • Cubs vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cubs / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | KCTV | MARQ

The Chicago Cubs (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 67-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 52-59 ATS.

Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 8-8, 4.58 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Luinder Avila 5-4, 5.59 ERA

Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs-1.5 -105O 9 -102-175
Royals +1.5 -115U 9 -118+145

Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+31.00 Units / 310% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+14.70 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Isaac Collins has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+18.60 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 away games (+12.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 away games (+5.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 55-59 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.62% ROI).

  • 67-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 3.95% ROI
  • 61-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 1.72% ROI
  • 54-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -9.84% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 52-59 against the Run Line (-23.4 Units / -14.56% ROI).

  • 48-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.45 Units / -15.9% ROI
  • 52-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -12.47% ROI
  • 62-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.2% ROI

Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Crow-Armstrong +310
Jac Caglianone +340
Salvador Perez +360
Bobby Witt Jr. +390
Seiya Suzuki +390

Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Bregman 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carson Kelly 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mike Busch 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Salvador Perez 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ian Happ 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jac Caglianone 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
John Rave 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Salvador Perez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals were just 4-64 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,266 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .265 (2,415 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .805 (1,266 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .338 (4,576 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .374 with runners on base this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 39% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (509.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.