• The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Royals
• Cubs vs Royals Over / Under today: 10 Runs
• Cubs / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | MARQ

The Chicago Cubs (-160) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 68-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 53-60 ATS.

Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 6-1, 3.57 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Randy Dobnak 2-0, 1.18 ERA

Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+23.50 Units / 588% ROI)
• Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 65% ROI)
• Carson Kelly has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.70 Units / 87% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Tyler Tolbert has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 games (+11.00 Units / 220% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 57% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+20.70 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+14.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.00 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 45 games (+4.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.70 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+8.25 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 56-60 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -0.61% ROI).

• 68-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 3.52% ROI
• 62-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.2 Units / 2.46% ROI
• 54-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -10.49% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 53-60 against the Run Line (-23.5 Units / -14.42% ROI).

• 49-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.1 Units / -15.38% ROI
• 53-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -11.49% ROI
• 62-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 3.32% ROI

Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cubs were 48-6 (.889) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Cubs were 40-9 (.816) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

The Royals were just 4-64 (.059) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Royals were 34-8 (.810) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends

The Cubs are batting .270 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of .806 (1,276 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .357 (1,276 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .350 (2,307 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters are slugging just .377 with runners on base this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .663 (1,153 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .481 (2,249 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have still managed to win 39% of the time this season — highest in MLB.

Cubs pitchers have picked-off 17 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.23 (509.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 4.81 (1037.0 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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