Cubs vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. during a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Royals are -150 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Cubs vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Cubs / Royals TV Channel: MARQ | BSKC

The Chicago Cubs (+125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-150) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Cubs are 49-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 59-44 ATS.

Cubs vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 2-8, 6.82 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer 6-6, 3.00 ERA

Cubs vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs+1.5 -160O 9 -110+125
Royals -1.5 +135U 9 -110-150

Cubs vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+25.40 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+16.85 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 games (+13.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Nick Loftin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 92 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games at home (+15.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.94 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games at home (+7.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-54 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -10.77% ROI).

  • 49-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -5.65% ROI
  • 43-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -18.14% ROI
  • 58-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +11 Units / 9.62% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 59-44 against the Run Line (+6.49 Units / 4.61% ROI).

  • 56-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 6.05% ROI
  • 42-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -18.28% ROI
  • 57-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.55 Units / 9.36% ROI

Royals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Royals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Massey (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Mike Tauchman (CHC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Hunter Renfroe (KC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Royals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Royals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer (KC) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kyle Hendricks (CHC) 2.5 -135 2.5 +105

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 59% of the time (546/923) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has an average fastball velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 56% of the time (721/1,298) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 170 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brady Singer has allowed a just .256 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 98th Percentile and .520 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Brady Singer allowed a batting average of just .174 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 97th Percentile and .295 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– third Percentile.

Brady Singer has allowed a just .200 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)– 89th Percentile and .900 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 51% (90/176) against Brady Singer this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 94th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Cubs are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Cubs are just 3-39 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Cubs are just 6-186 (.031) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Cubs are just 37-9 (.804) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Royals are 21-8 (.724) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Royals are just 38-41 (.481) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .622.

The Royals are just 20-98 (.169) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .363 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Cubs hitters have just 6 strikeouts in 44 PA’s (14%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Cubs are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (4,727 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters are slugging .265 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 85 of 923 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 50 double plays in 761 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (254.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
  • Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.