- The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Chicago Cubs (-125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Monday, August 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 64-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 65-59 ATS.
Cubs vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -125 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | U 9 +100 | +105 |
Cubs vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+23.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+19.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+18.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+17.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+15.15 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.75 Units / 84% ROI)
Tigers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Tigers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Alex Faedo | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.54 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+7.59 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.84 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 58 games (+5.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+8.79 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.09 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-59 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.19% ROI).
- 64-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 0.64% ROI
- 63-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 54-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -11.21% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-59 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -2.45% ROI).
- 57-67 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 4.97% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.5 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.1 Units / -5.31% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (86/452) against Javier Assad this season — 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Javier Assad has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (97/190) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Javier Assad has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 46% (47/103) of right-handed hitters this season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesin 2022 — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last six games dating back to May 25th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Alex Faedo’s pitches (94/259) over the last 30 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Alex Faedo has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.1 innings pitched — Justin Topa has the longest active streak at 20.1.
Opponents are hitting just .118 (6-for-51) against Alex Faedo over the last 30 days (3 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cubs are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Cubs are 16-13 (.552) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 39-22 (.639) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Tigers are just 9-28 (.243) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Tigers are just 14-52 (.212) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are 24-6 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,364 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cubs hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 139 total hits (just 29%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .639 (7,905 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (566 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (7,905 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (3,019 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 11% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 76 of 1,091 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.19 (356.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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