- The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Cubs starting pitcher: Todd Smyly
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Chicago Cubs (-125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Tuesday, August 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 65-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 66-59 ATS.
Cubs vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -125 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | U 9 +100 | +105 |
Cubs vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+22.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+20.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+19.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+18.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 49 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+14.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+12.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.30 Units / 81% ROI)
Tigers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Tigers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Smyly | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Reese Olson | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+14.64 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+8.59 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.99 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 59 games (+6.24 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 28 away games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 59 games (+7.69 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.09 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 115 games (+4.95 Units / 3% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 64-60 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.44% ROI).
- 65-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 64-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 2.79% ROI
- 54-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.05 Units / -11.93% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 66-59 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- 57-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 4.18% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -2.53% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.2 Units / -6.08% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
28 of Drew Smyly’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
48 of Drew Smyly’s 148 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Drew Smyly has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (280/727) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
48 of Drew Smyly’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (14/41) against Reese Olson on low breaking pitches this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .272 (56-for-206) against Mike Clevinger in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .329 — 95th Percentile.
Mike Clevinger had a strike rate of just 57% (241/420) on sliders in 2022 — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Mike Clevinger allowed a slugging percentage of .635 (33 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low fastballs in 2022 — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — seventh Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cubs are 40-22 (.645) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Cubs are just 4-8 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 16-22 (.421) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 16-13 (.552) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Tigers are just 14-53 (.209) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 30-44 (.405) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Tigers are 17-7 (.708) after a loss as favorites since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Tigers are just 60-80 (.429) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have been successful in 89% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Cubs are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 58% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (7,947 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .640 (7,947 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (3,323 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .353 against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.2 MPH (3,019 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have walked 3 of 97 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Cubs have won just just 13% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 360 of 4,709 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
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